For the uninitiated, Nate Silver is a numbers guru and, despite his liberal tendencies, widely seen as the statistical equivalent of Charlie Cook.
Late last week he put together his analyses of the gubernatorial races this year and his model showed some incredibly bad news for Ted Strickland.
Ultimately, based on all the variables incorporated into the model, Silver predicts Kasich winning by 8.4 points. It’s important to note, this analysis didn’t include the latest Columbus Dispatch poll showing Kasich up 12.
Clearly this is horrible news for Ted Strickland. And it’s probably the last thing in the world any Strickland contributor would want to see.
All that said, what can lose this for Kasich is complacency. Our enthusiasm is what’s winning this race and we can’t back down.