The latest Ohio Poll had some interesting changes from the last. Namely, Kasich’s lead has shrunk to 2, 49-47.
We’ll keep this simple.
What I liked about the poll…
- Kasich is ahead by four among those most likely to vote.
- The GOP enthusiasm gap is an astounding 12 points.
- Indepedents, while still a much smaller sample than any other polls, showed a net gain of 7 points towards Kasich. Kasich now leads 46-40.
- Kasich won the issue questions.
- He’s more likely to bring change by 10 points.
- Will improve the economy by 4 points.
- Lower the unemployment rate by 5 points.
- And Strickland is more likely to raise taxes by 28 points(!).
What I didn’t like about the poll…
- Strickland is creeping up closer to 50. He’s still below 45 in the RCP average, but any movement up is obviously not welcomed.
- He’s getting slightly more partisan support than Kasich.
- Obviously, this sample included more Democrats than the last, meaning more Democrats are getting engaged.
- Questions about honesty and empathy sided with slightly with Strickland, which isn’t much of a surprise considering the tone of his campaign.
Eight days to go and this race is tight. We have enthusiasm on our side. Let’s keep things rolling!