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What I liked and didn’t like in this weekend’s Ohio Poll…

The latest Ohio Poll had some interesting changes from the last. Namely, Kasich’s lead has shrunk to 2, 49-47.

We’ll keep this simple.

What I liked about the poll…

  • Kasich is ahead by four among those most likely to vote.
  • The GOP enthusiasm gap is an astounding 12 points.
  • Indepedents, while still a much smaller sample than any other polls, showed a net gain of 7 points towards Kasich. Kasich now leads 46-40.
  • Kasich won the issue questions.
    • He’s more likely to bring change by 10 points.
    • Will improve the economy by 4 points.
    • Lower the unemployment rate by 5 points.
    • And Strickland is more likely to raise taxes by 28 points(!).

What I didn’t like about the poll…

  • Strickland is creeping up closer to 50. He’s still below 45 in the RCP average, but any movement up is obviously not welcomed.
  • He’s getting slightly more partisan support than Kasich. 
  • Obviously, this sample included more Democrats than the last, meaning more Democrats are getting engaged. 
  • Questions about honesty and empathy sided with slightly with Strickland, which isn’t much of a surprise considering the tone of his campaign.

Eight days to go and this race is tight. We have enthusiasm on our side. Let’s keep things rolling!

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Third Base Politics is an Ohio-centric conservative blog that has been featured at Hot Air, National Review, Washington Post, Los Angeles Times, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, and others.


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